By Abhishek Jha:
About one-third of the contesting candidates in the third phase of Bihar elections scheduled for October 28 have criminal cases against themselves according to their own declared affidavits that Association for Democratic Reforms (ADR) has analysed in its report. Out of a total of 808 candidates contesting in the 50 constituencies, 215 (27%) have declared criminal cases against themselves and 162 out of those are ‘serious’ criminal cases. The ADR report categorises ‘serious’ criminal cases as those which relate to offenses punishable with imprisonment of 5 or more years, or non-bailable offenses, electoral offenses, offenses related to loss of exchequer, offenses related or murder, kidnapping, and rape, those mentioned in Representation of the People Act (Section 8), Prevention or Corruption Act, and those related to crimes against women.
RJD (68%), BJP (62%), and JDU (56%) have the most percentage of candidates with criminal charges against them. 16 of the 17 candidates of RJD with criminal cases have one or more of the serious charges against them. BSP (19%), CPI (37%), and SP (39%) have the least percentage of candidates with criminal charges against them.
There has been a regular demand from the election commission that people with pending criminal cases be debarred from elections to prevent criminalisation of politics. In a long practised refrain, political parties have always stated that false and defamatory charges might then become a tactic to disqualify worthy candidates. Politicians are correct in saying that an ongoing criminal case cannot prove anybody guilty or be indicative of a conviction in future. The 2013 SC judgement that struck down section 8(4) of the Representation of Peoples Act, on the other hand, now implies that a convicted MP or MLA immediately loses his seat. A recent example is the conviction of Jayalalithaa in the disproportionate assets case by a Bangalore special court, after which she had to step down as the CM. She had to appeal in a higher court before she was acquitted of all charges this summer.
However, there is a fair chance of some of the candidates getting convicted. And the more number of candidates with criminal cases a party fields, a commonsensical statistical guess is that the party will have more number of candidates who stand a chance of being convicted at some stage. This would hurt the party too, unless it aims to unlawfully influence the judicial process. Moreover, this data being available to voters these days through user-friendly apps, there is a chance that the voter will be suspicious of parties that field candidates with criminal cases.
The expectation from political parties is simple. The law is definitely not aware of a candidate’s guilt until it is so proven, and perhaps this is what the voter too believes as even elected ministers have criminal charges against them. The criminal-political nexus develops when a political party fields a criminal precisely so that they may exercise extraneous power. This game can be played only as long as some new party – with a cleaner slate – does not play spoilsport, which happened with the arrival of AAP in Delhi (irrespective of all that’s happened after). All parties should learn this lesson. Or the public may teach them one.
Mohammad Yousuf
An out of box thought process contradicting what main stream media claim: With the lynching and the killing of Muslims by RSS elements, with the incendiary rhetoric / divisive statements of Haryana CM, BJP Union Ministers, BJP Law Makers, MPs and MLAs; it is quite natural that Muslims have turned away from BJP.
Thus BJP has become lame duck deprived from almost one crore and twenty five lakh Muslim Votes from Bihar, almost 20% vote not available to BJP.
RSS Chief’s reminder to BJP to review the current reservation policy has turned away the OBC, EBC, SC and ST from BJP. This way, BJP is now deprived of the majority of 65% of Bihar population, more than 4 Crores of Bihari votes.
With APND Modi making only Jumla, the general mass has turned away from BJP. All the people waited for Rs. 15 Lakhs for one-and-a half year instead they have got daal at Rs. 200 per kg.
Biharis, mostly the poor, the deprived, the hand to mouth are furious at Modi for he follows crony capitalism and he has shun the constitutional duty of following the co-operative socialism!
Only that particular class of people who dominated Bihar politics, prior to Mandal, majority of the ex-congressmen, and now have joined BJP in the hope of ruling Bihar again will automatically vote for BJP. This is the solid 15% vote bank of BJP – all weather ready, ever ready vote bank.
BJP has logically given more than 50% of seats to this class. Interesting to note that the party with a difference, who abuse other political parties of minority apeasement and minority vote bank politics is performing same. Lesson – Is hamaam mein sab nangen hain!
Encounter King of Gujarat, Amit Shah is using every Kautaliya Neeti in Bihar election, sam, dam, dand, vibhed. He recognised that dam works best in Bihar. And I learnt that BJP is distributing among the Bihari electorates Rs.10, 000 Crores. But this amount may fetch the BJP close to one Crore votes only. Since BJP needs at least 2.5 Crore votes in Bihar, its appropriately right time that BJP increases the amount to be distributed to Rs. 25, 000 Crore before it is too late!
As if stationing half of the union cabinet ministers and most of the BJP MPs in Patna is not considered sufficiently enough for campaign, BJP is ringing danger bells demanding law makers from BJP ruled states to increase the quantum of the campaign but the sore outcome is that the Bihari electorates are refusing to listen to these Baharis, the outsiders.
May be additional laws of Chanakya Neeti need to be applied. Last but not least: Wise ex-RSS Pracharak said: “If RSS ‘really’ (emphasis on ‘really’) wants you to win an election, almost no power on earth can stop you from winning an election!”
Therefore Encounter King Amit Shah and Ham Panch Hamare Pachees Narendra Modi must drop every thing and run to Nagpur and beg RSS Chief to issue a Fatawa, a Firman to the RSS members to join the prachar lest Bihar 2015 becomes India 2004, 2009 fiasco!