हसनपुर विधानसभा में कुल 2.77 लाख वोटर हैं। जिसमें 1.46 लाख यानि 52.7 प्रतिशत पुरुष और 1.31 लाख यानि 47.2 प्रतिशत महिला वोटर हैं। इस सीट पर पिछले विधानसभा में 56 प्रतिशत वोटिंग हुई थी। इस सीट के जातीय समीकरण की बात करें तो यादव वोटर सबसे अधिक हैं, उसेक बाद मुस्लिम वोटरों की संख्या है। जबकि, पासवान और रविदास के वोटर निर्णायक की भूमिका में है।
This high profile seat can have the potential to clear all the expectations of the voting trend among Yadavs, Muslims, OBCs and Dalits. It can also clear the theories revolving around Mayawati’s support to the BJP over Rajya Sabha seat from Uttar Pradesh.
It could go to the extent of freeing Owaisi from the dirt of allying with the BSP in Bihar elections. If the RJD’s contender secures winning position on Hasanpur assembly constituency, it would make clear that he got votes of all the sections more or less in equal proportion. In case he fails to garner the support of all groups it would expose the effects of the BSP’s politics that shows favour to the BJP in Upper House of the Parliament.
Likewise, Owaisi would come to know of the Dalits’ support to his AIMIM. It is not beyond comprehension that the Congress party wants to fluctuate the Muslims support among parties so that it could gain in its gameplan. However, no reactions on the part of about one hundred years old Majlis leaders on BSP support to BJP in Rajya Sabha polls show something debatable.
Just as BSP & LJP want to support the BJP, the Congress and the RJD do not want to lose the Muslims favour at all costs. So, they appear to be targeting Majlis for a split in the Grand Alliance of as many as six political parties with every hue.
The elections at any level in Indian democracy are bound to torture the strong opposition parties. It has long been a skid mark on the underwear of democracy, but it does matter that the Congress Party is, as writer David Roth puts it, “medically incapable of dying” — because if it were dead, its leadership wouldn’t spatter this sort of shit. It also matters that Donald Trump, despite surviving on Big Macs and hairspray fumes, was healthy enough to become president, and still in the presidential fray.
All those typical scenarios do not imply that Asaduddin Owaisi won’t kiss off defeat handily in his scheme of political steps. Yet, Bihar distinctly fights its assembly elections in the second phase. It can be said without a doubt that the supporters are not shying away from expressing their minds on the favour of the Majlis for bringing a change in representation. Owaisi fights on a scant number of seats in comparison to the main political parties but his support as social media portray does not stand limited.