Chief Election Commissioner Sunil Arora along with his team announced the dates for the election to five states- Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Puducherry, and Tamil Nadu. Barring Kerala and Tamil Nadu, I believe the Bhartiya Janta Party has smelled an occasion and opportunity to taste power in Bengal giving CM Mamta Banerjee a run for her money. Remember, Bhartiya Janta Party has gone all out in exposing the misdeeds and mishits of the ruling Trinamool Congress in the state.
Orchestrated at two levels, firstly by winning over the disgruntled leaders, workers, and cadres of the Trinamool in their ranks invoking cultural pride and religious polarization arousing the sentiments and emotions of the common and ordinary electorate. There is a likelihood in all possibility that the BJP is set to gain from Mamta’s ferocious reaction and response to Jai Shri Ram bettering their poll presentation. Namasudras, a key Schedule Caste community in Bengal with a significant proportion in the population have over the past few months inched closer to the Bhartiya Janta Party completing the process of their Hinduization.
I am made to understand that a counter polarization suits the BJP than a Mamta as in urban spaces the saffron party will be comfortably a little ahead. Mamta dominating the rural scene as for the thirty percent Muslim population in the state endorsing TMC than for a Congress- Left alliance. Owaisi at best would want to play a vote spoiler sounding as a trusted aide and well-wisher of the Muslims. A political plot was adopted for securing the goodwill of his people and population. If the BJP were to cross over a hundred and ten-odd seats then it might bargain for power by poaching a significant chunk of Mamta,s legislators vividly illustrated in their intimidation techniques with CBI and ED becoming its frontline arms and agencies climbing over its opponents and critics. The CBI recently quizzed Mamta,s nephew Abhishek Banerjee along with his wife for a case of corruption. Coming after Pamela Ghosh a prominent Bhartiya Yuva Morcha Leader Pamela Ghosh was arrested by Kolkata Police for illegally possessing drugs. Violence, vandalism, and hooliganism becoming the primary characteristic face and feature of the politics in the state. Literally, unaware of how different political sides behave and blame for their lows and highs on the result day- May 02nd. Kerala might see a repeat of the CPM government given its impressive micro-management of the Covid crisis elucidated in its conduct of the civic infrastructure and facilities. Pinarayi Vijayan has been able to tide over the anti-incumbency owing to the gold smuggling case momentarily denting his popularity and presence in the state. Except for the traditional rivalry between Left Democratic Front and United Democratic Front the BJP may make some inroads in state politics. A few days ago Metro Man E Sreedharan expressed his confidence in the BJP by officially becoming its primary member. Narayanswamy in Puducherry may ride on the sympathy wave given the toppling of his government in the state. In Tamil Nadu and Assam, Bhartiya Janta Party would expect from its allies- AIADMK and AGP to put up a show of strategy and strength thus helping it to retain power in these two states. Dinakaran might liaison with BJP leadership in Tamilnadu for a tie-up on Sasikala,s insistence. AIADMK will do whatever it could in its capacity for exposing and outlining the rift and rivalry in DMK given the souring association between Alagiri and Stalin. These assembly elections are going to offer us a take of people’s opinions and views at the back of the issues influencing the political perceptions, orientation, and outlook of our population. Remember, the Corona pandemic is far from being over even after the successful start of the inoculation drive. With an ongoing farmer’s agitation and distress, our democracy has faltered in attending and accomodating dissent and discontent labeling it as an unnecessary intrusion into our affairs derailing growth and governance. Substantially speaking safeguarding the faith and belief of the people should get acceptance than the laid out processes and procedures dividing us into this side versus that side.
No more in Democracy’s name